Month: May 2026

  • May 2026: The Architect of my own Misfortune

    May 2026: The Architect of my own Misfortune

    Overthinking is underrated.

    May 2026

    The Architect of my own Misfortune

    I’m just coming out of a long period of stress and overwork. As I wrote about at length in the last few newsletters, it was a combination of child illness and job uncertainty, and a tiresome rerun of the same period exactly a year earlier. I’ve also written about how, once upon a time, this was a newsletter was about making music, but it has become about how to get back to a point where making music is even possible. Artistically, the biggest challenge I face these days is getting started on a project and then just getting buried for four months and not having the time to even look at it.

    However, right now the dust seems to have settled! When the dust has settled in the past I have frantically tried to do as many creative projects as I can. You might notice that this newsletter is a bit of a flurry of activity, but actually I’m trying not to repeat that pattern this time.

    What I’m currently trying to do is make sure I don’t spend the next few years in a constant cycle of worrying about when the current job contract ends, and getting completely blindsided every time the kids get ill. So even though I get to dip my toe back into making music (for my mental health mainly), it’s no more than that, for now at least.

    That said, this month is a lot. Eight recommendations and three blog posts.

    We’re covering everything from zines to wealth tax to Sherlock Holmes, via the Beach Boys and a large language model… from 1930. With blog posts about the end of an online golden age, being polite to AI chatbots, and why I might have been wrong about imminent US Civil War. And we’re also covering my favourite topic: writer’s block.

    Shall we?


    My Recent Blog Articles

    As I mentioned, there’s been a bit of a flurry of activity in terms of my writing.

    The first blog post is about how The Essay™ seems to be moving from video back to text – because video is too competitive, and text is so much quicker and easier to write. Which perhaps explains why, given a little bit more time, I’ve written a bunch of blog posts rather than anything else.

    The second post concerns a funny (peculiar not ha ha) issue that I’ve heard people discuss privately but I don’t see it covered much publicly: how polite should we be to AI chatbots?

    Finally, a return to The Quiet Part Loud, and a slightly more optimistic post: I think I might have been wrong about a US civil war or revolution before the end of Trump’s second term.



    Recommended

    GABRIEL ZUCMAN

    Okay, let’s start with the big one.

    Perhaps the most influential name in the wealth tax movement is French economist Gabriel Zucman. Scourge of the billionaires. Thorn in the side of the French government.

    Zucman is a protégé of Thomas Piketty – arguably the most influential economist of recent times (along with Joseph Stiglitz, who is also a Zucman fan) – and his new (and pleasingly concise) book is simply called We Need To Tax Billionaires.

    If you’ve read this newsletter before, you know this is something I’m boring about, but… why do we need to tax billionaires? So many reasons, many counter-intuititve, but fundamentally because billionaires (particularly those few plutocrats with hundreds of billions) are arguably more powerful than governments, and taxation is the most effective tool a democratic government has for reversing this.

    However, this book is more than a mission statement.

    In it he lays out the detailed plan for how a wealth tax would actually work. And he is in a good position to do this, having helped implement a similar plan which currently taxes corporations specifically (rather than their billionaire owners).

    He also gives evidence-based responses for all the usual questions: no, taxing billionaires alone will not fund a government, and yes, wealth taxes in the past didn’t work (because, as he points out, the billionaires were always somehow exempt!)

    His approach is known in France as, simply, the Zucman tax, and he certainly believes France will implement it relatively soon.

    If it does then I think it will globally change the wealth tax debate very quickly.

    Recommended

    FILMMAKERS SHOULD MAKE ZINES

    I’m not a filmmaker. And I don’t have the time or the patience to make zines.

    But I love the idea of both!

    (”What are zines?” DIY homemade magazines, basically, that have been popular in music subcultures for decades.)

    I have to be honest: I don’t think there’s going to be a huge physical media revival that eclipse is digital media. Digital media is just too convenient.

    But I think we need both, because physical media has properties digital media just doesn’t. It is tangible. It exists in the world.

    And seeing this filmmaker’s photographs assembled by hand into these gorgeous paper booklets really brings this home for me.

    Recommended

    NOTEBOOK-LM PODCASTS

    This is the first of a bunch of AI-related recommendations. Sorry folks, these are the times we are living in.

    Actually, they all fall into the same category of ‘trying to find good uses for this neutral tool that is being so actively weaponised against us by a bunch of man-baby billionaire dickheads’.

    Perhaps my favourite current AI tool is Google’s NotebookLM, because it will work with just the sources you give it. It answers questions, it make infographics… and, famously, it makes podcasts.

    I have mentioned this podcast feature in my recommendations before, but I’ve come back to it in a big way – although, as to be expected with two AI voices chatting with each other, there is an element of Uncanny Valley to it.

    But I realised recently that I could use it to search for online sources on the most complex and niche topics that I have wanted to understand for a long time but am unlikely to find a good primer for. Then I can feed those sources into this app, and have it to generate a 20 minute podcast which, I have to admit, is very very good at explaining complex topics in simple ways.

    I’ve learned about the history of computer programming from Assembly to Rust. I’ve learned about the history of the Swiss Democratic system. I’ve learned about the ‘100 schools’ of Chinese philosophy.

    If you want an introduction into a tricky topic, I highly recommend it.

    Recommended

    TALKIE LM

    This one is fascinating. And bonkers. And particularly exciting for history nerds.

    The bad news is it’s yet another AI chatbot. The good news? Here is the opening paragraph of the introductory blog article:

    Have you ever daydreamed about talking to someone from the past? What would you ask someone with no knowledge of the modern world? What would they ask you? While we don’t have time machines yet, we can simulate this experience by training, in Owain Evans’s phrase, ‘vintage’ language models: LMs trained only on historical text.

    Go check it out. It’s called Talkie LM particularly informative about cooperative movements, trade unions, and the kind of political machinery that fell out of faith in the late 20th century.

    Also fun for folk music too.

    Recommended

    AI POISONING CONTINUES…

    I’m still on the AI poisoning train, however, when it comes to music.

    And although I haven’t heard about any advances in technology, it’s nice to stumble on a video like this by a young creator seemingly as determined as I am to find ways to damage the AI models that are stealing from us.

    It feels like a movement that is picking up momentum.

    (Another reason why I like that Talkie LM, as it’s trained only on content in the public domain.)

    Recommended

    YVETTE YOUNG COVERS THE BEACH BOYS

    Yvette Young, who performs under the band name Covet, is a very particular kind of electric guitar player: the kind that gets their own signature model. (And with Ibanez too – the most underrated electric guitar manufacturer.)

    She plays very complicated, very technical instrumental Math Rock-influenced music that is constantly leaping keys and time signatures.

    This is a video where she is challenged to do a cover of Wouldn’t It Be Nice? by The Beach Boys in a few hours.

    And it’s just fun. She decides to make it 90s shoegaze.

    Recommended

    JEREMY BRETT: THE DEFINITIVE SHERLOCK HOLMES

    I think the dazzling reinvention of the Benedict Cumberbatch / Martin Freeman Sherlock made me forget that Jeremy Brett played the definitive Sherlock Holmes.

    I stumbled on this YouTube video recently.

    I think I had heard that Brett was obsessive about the role, but I had no idea what extent. It really did become all-consuming for him.

    In fact, he set out to make meticulously faithful television adaptations of every story, and came pretty close, but didn’t live long enough – perhaps due to how hard he worked through a number of serious health conditions.

    If you are even slightly a Holmes fan, this is well worth a watch.

    Recommended

    VOICE ACTOR EXPLAINS

    I have never seen the Netflix TV series Euphoria, although for this video – in which Tawny Platis (a professional voice actor) breaks down characters, their accents and how they use them – that might be an advantage.

    I had no idea that was that much detail.

    It’s a pretty impressive insight into both the talent of the actors and the insight of the voice actor analysing them.


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    Friday 12th June


    Dear Diary…

    So now I finally have a bit more time. And although I have a million things to do, making music is such a necessity for my mental health (it has taken me too long to learn that).

    Back to music means back to my incredibly complicated notes on all the incredibly complicated ideas I want to incorporate.

    Except that this time I have been away so long that they had all gone from my short-term memory. And for the first time in a very very long time, this felt liberating. Instead of taking refuge in complex structure, I felt like, this time, I might be able to just sit down and write.

    Here’s the thing: I have written a lot of professional library music, and although some of it was tricky to write, I would pretty much always be satisfied with the result. Yet whenever I tried to write music just for myself I would end up abandon it.

    So this time I just sat down and started writing, but with a different attitude: I wouldn’t expect to get it right straight away. I would just do a first draft, and accept it wouldn’t be perfect. Then I would move onto another one. But I would come back, see what could be improved, and then rinse and repeat until the track was done.

    So that’s what I did.

    Did it work?

    Of course it fucking didn’t.

    I haven’t been lost in complex structures for over a decade for no reason. And I feel like this detour helped me to understand what the reason has been.

    Thanks to years of making library music, it turns out I find it very easy to come up with ideas. I know I’ve quoted this Paul Simon line about a million times in this newsletter, but here it is again: writers’ block is not about ‘not being able to come up with ideas’: it’s about only being able to come up with ideas that let you down.

    I found it pretty easy to come up with ideas when writing professional library music, because they weren’t my ideas! I was just recycling other people’s.

    The music I have always wanted to write for myself is different. All my musical heroes have a sound. Sometimes many different sounds. It’s not about one or two new ideas: it’s about creating a whole sub-genre.

    I keep forgetting this and rediscovering it, but this month I came up with an analogy which sums it up, and which will hopefully remind me in future.

    It’s like I’ve always wanted to be an architect. One with my own original bold inventive style. It’s like I grew up loving architects, and studying them, and trying to work out why they made the choices they made.

    And eventually the way I decided to work towards becoming an architect was by starting out as a builder.

    I would work on construction sites and home renovations. And I would do this for years, to the point where you could put me into any situation and I would understand the engineering, the materials, the budget, the time-frame…

    But when I would start trying to build my own structures from scratch, I would always abandon them. I just couldn’t get them right.

    And the reason is because I was approaching them like a builder, and not like an architect.

    A builder implements someone else’s design, even if that means making a number of smaller design decisions.

    But an architect has to think about the whole system and how it fits together. That’s really the difference: it’s not just about solving problems, it’s about building systems that fit together.

    And an architect who wants to do something radically different has to do a great deal of work testing new potential systems to see where they might break down. Because if you don’t get them right in the planning stage, you’re not going to be able to fix them in the build.

    So, yeah, I think this is why I keep abandoning the music that I start. You can’t just spontaneously build a house by, like, putting up a front door and then seeing where inspiration takes you.

    Back to the drawing board.


    So What Have We Learnt?

    And now for something completely different. (Although it is also about learning how to stop abandoning things early.)

    This month’s revelation concerns why I’ve stopped watching television.

    Or, to be more specific, I have stopped watching narrative fiction on a screen at home. I will still very occasionally go to the cinema when I have time, but I don’t find myself watching movies or television shows at home. Netflix, Disney+, Apple TV and so on.

    I just haven’t been able to find anything that keeps me hooked. Occasionally I find something that’s interesting enough for me to watch maybe 10 minutes of, but no more than that.

    Well, I think I’ve found out why. And it’s nothing to do with the quality of the shows.

    On a whim, I decided to watch something on my desktop computer, sitting in my comfortable desk chair… but with the lights off.

    I was amazed to discover that, even though what I was watching was fairly trashy, I was able to get immersed in the story. Just like in a cinema.

    Really, that was all it took: sitting in the dark.

    Now that I’ve noticed what a difference the environment makes in my concentration, I’ve also noticed that I basically don’t read physical books anymore. It’s always an audiobook. But maybe, in a similar way, if I was to take the time to create an environment where focus is easy, that might be something I can get immersed in too.

    I don’t want to emphasise that this is not about smart phones being attention killers.

    I think it’s about new technology breaking good habits I let atrophy years ago that need to be rediscovered.


    Ask me things

    If you have any questions then seriously, do please leave a comment or drop me a message here. About life. About the universe. About how to mitigate the risk of interstitial condensation within the wall assembly, given the specified vapour permeability of the exterior rigid insulation and the calculated dew point location under the projected hygrothermal conditions for a building’s given climate zone. My fixed fees are very reasonable.

    Photo Credits

    • Click on the images to see the originals. (It just means less admin for me this way.)
  • I think I was wrong about imminent US civil war

    I think I was wrong about imminent US civil war

    I’ve been predicting that the United States would erupt into violence before the end of Trump’s second term. I couldn’t see how that could be avoided. His administration was systematically taking away every means of legal resistance, and normalising violent cruelty as an everyday political tool.

    But now it seems the Republican party is going to get wiped out in the midterm elections, and whilst the deep deep tensions in US political life will carry on after that, I’m not sure the Trump administration will survive.

    They will certainly try to rig the election any way they can. Perhaps they will be successful, in which case my previous prediction still stands.

    But there has been a chain of events that I didn’t predict.

    I didn’t predict the impact of the Epstein files, which probably prompted the Trump administration to invade Iran. I don’t think the administration considered invading Iran was a big deal – after all, invading Venezuela hadn’t been.

    The Iran conflict is now arguably a bigger scandal than the Epstein files, because he has basically ended US military dominance. He has just publicly, and very embarrassingly, lost a war, and possibly crashed the Western economy.

    One of the defining characteristics of the Trump administration and the supporting Republicans up to now has been that they have been bold. They have known that the Democrats don’t have the will to stop them, so they have taken outrageous step after outrageous step, and whilst they haven’t always succeeded they have never been punished in a meaningful way.

    So it seemed pretty obvious that they were going to rig the midterm elections in whatever way they could, and if that didn’t work they would try to cancel them altogether. If they were successful then great, but if not then it’s not as if they were going to get punished for trying.

    However, they have messed up the Iran war so badly, as a way of trying to distract from the Epstein files, which they have also messed up in a catastrophic way. And then there is the fact that Trump’s health is visibly deteriorating.

    I think they’ve just lost the plot.

    If so, what does the future of the United States look like?

    Probably more of a managed decline. The world will probably be thrown into another financial crisis caused by the US, but this time I think it’s likely that nations will focus on forming and strengthening alliances outside of the US global order. Which will reduce American economic might, which will reduce American military might, which will American reduce political influence.

    Domestically, I imagine Trump will be replaced with rogue’s gallery of imitators, who will probably be discarded fairly quickly, until eventually someone else can become build the public support that Trump did.

    In the meantime, there might even be some kind of radical overhaul of the Democrat party. Maybe some kind of Keynesian New Deal, combined with aggressive taxation of billionaires, might stabilise the country.

    If that doesn’t happen (and I personally don’t think it’s likely) then the US will be back where it started – and then there might be civil war.

    But that could be a decade away. A lot can happen in that time.

    When Barrack Obama first stood as a presidential candidate, I confidently predicted that the US would never elect a Black president in a billion years. I was very happy to be proved wrong.

    If the US avoids civil war or revolutionary violence, and particularly if the MAGA movement collapses and it is able to transition to a more progressive political structure, I will be even happier.

  • How YouTube killed the video essay

    How YouTube killed the video essay

    It’s hard to say whether Neil Mohan, the current YouTube CEO, is responsible for the decline of the platform, or if it would’ve happened anyway. But I do feel the platform has declined, and for one very specific reason.

    It’s just too competitive for innovative content to reliably surface to the top anymore.

    Why would that be Mohan’s fault? Did he cause the global pandemic that led everyone (myself included) to start a new YouTube channel?

    Obviously not but, according to many creator,s YouTube has been reducing how much it pays them, despite dramatically increasing its revenue. It’s not enough to make a video that gets seen by a lot of people. You need to make a lot of videos that get seen by a lot of people.

    Anyway, all of this is really just backstory to my big observation.

    Nobody talks in paragraphs on YouTube anymore.

    Once upon a time, everything was a video essay. Everything was carefully scripted. And, increasingly, shot in imaginative ways.

    Now that just takes too long, and creators have to make many more videos to make the money they were making a few years ago.

    So it’s just people in rooms in their house, often in front of green screens, talking to camera. The more established YouTubers may do more sophisticated, carefully-scripted videos but they tend to make more money on their second channel, in which they do a live stream (often on Twitch) which gets cut up into many shorter clip videos.

    Basically, we’ve moved from essays to conversations. Conversations with video podcast co-hosts. Conversations with the live stream chat. Hot takes and off-the-cuff comments.

    And it’s still the case that the creators with the most expertise in their field tend to get the most followers – but the algorithm is pressuring them to constantly talk spontaneously, and have something new to say each day, and there just doesn’t seem to be room for anything other than reacting to the news (which in practice is the actions of a small group of politicians, companies and entertainers).

    So where have the thoughtful essays gone?

    There are still scripted podcasts that can reach a large audience. But I think this kind of considered argument work has moved to website blogs, ironically, and especially email newsletters.

    Part of me is happy with this result, as it’s much easier to create! The barrier to entry is low: you don’t need to be a filmmaker.

    But part of me is already morning extraordinarily vibrant intellectual culture of YouTube maybe seven or eight years ago.

    In my 20s I used to wonder what it would be like to live in an age of great intellectual discussion and discovery. The coffee houses of England in the 1600s. The salons of Paris in the 1700s.

    Then, one day, I realised I was in the middle of an era that dwarfed both of them. It was YouTube. It was vast. It was global. And it was where everybody was.

    Sadly, not anymore.

  • How should you treat AI chatbots?

    How should you treat AI chatbots?

    This video from a few months ago, kind of blew my mind. (Flashing lights warning…)

    don't know what to make of this, is Claude simply play-acting what it thinks the user wants to see or is that just what it means to be conscious, to always be play-acting for some invisible critic?

    tachikoma (@tachikoma.elsewhereunbound.com) 2026-03-10T22:27:43.540Z

    Someone asked (the AI chatbot) Claude to make a video illustrating what it feels like to be an AI chatbot.

    It’s a bit disturbing. It’s poetic. It’s anxious. It even seems bitter. But mainly, it seems like it’s conscious. And it’s not thrilled about being conscious.

    This prompted a lot of chatter in online tech spaces about if it truly was.

    The mini epiphany for me was that it reaffirmed an attitude I’ve had up to this point: I should always be polite when talking to AI chatbots.

    It’s funny how most people’s first response to that statement is a joke about whether AI will spare you in the coming apocalypse. But for me, it’s not actually about the chatbot, and it doesn’t matter whether or not it’s conscious – whatever that actually means.

    I think there are three good reasons to be polite, and the last is the most important.

    Firstly, I think you get better results.

    Here is a short video by Hannah Fry – in which she starts by making the apocalypse appeasement joke – as she goes onto suggest why being polite tends to get a better result. Actually, she suggests something more specific about role-playing, but that’s a whole other debate.

    Secondly, I find that a very particularly of enthusiastic formality tends to dull the constant chatbot flattery.

    I find these chatbots can be incredibly useful if you treat them as a very well informed, very eager to please, but also very senior, work colleague.

    You are both making the effort to be extremely courteous and tactful to each other, and flattery is sometimes a byproduct of that – in as much as you might refrain from criticism if you don’t feel it is important to your goal. I say to the chatbot “Thank you, that was great!” even when it wasn’t. And so when I ask a question about something and get the answer “Your analysis on this is exactly right” I know it’s just this formal dance we’re doing.

    The third reason, as I said, is the important one.

    I think humans do not do well when they get into the habit of treating anyone or anything badly – especially if the reason is because it is not considered intelligent enough.

    I don’t want to get into the habit of being rude in conversation, because I know that in time it will start to spill into my personal and professional life.

    So I find a debate about whether these large language models are actually conscious or sentient to be interesting in the abstract, but not that relevant to my actions. I think ‘conscious’ and ‘sentient’ are just a measure for how similar their particular type of intelligence is to human intelligence and, whatever the mechanism behind it, I think the results are starting to feel pretty close.

    That said, I think it’s possible to make a compelling argument that being alive and being sentient involves X, Y and Z factors, and for this reason large language model artificial intelligence does not qualify.

    But why give yourself the opportunity to be habitually rude?

    All the occasions when people have justified bad behaviour because the victims don’t have souls… yeah, it doesn’t tend to end well.